GIS provides independent, unbiased scenario-based geopolitical forecasting and analysis with a focus on relevance for decisionmakers.

The Maastricht Treaty reshaped Europe, but its centralizing ambitions betrayed economic growth and triggered crises still unfolding today. After the Maastricht Treaty ...

China has entered a deflationary cycle, exposing stark economic disparities amid slowing growth and cautious policy changes. China has been facing ongoing deflation, with prices declining for six ...

Facing war fatigue at home, Western governments are tempted to use Russian foreign exchange reserves to pay for aid to Ukraine. The stakes are higher than some policymakers realize. An illuminated ...

The recent BRICS summit in Johannesburg confirmed the transition to a multipolar order where, despite the salience of the United States and China, medium powers and regional alignments are also ...

The rapid rise of piracy in the Gulf of Guinea poses a threat to regional security and could fuel jihadist movements coming from the inland. The coastal area surrounding the Gulf of Guinea comprises ...

The complex and evolving trade relationship between the United States and the European Union is at a pivotal moment, reflecting broader global shifts and geopolitical uncertainties. As two of the ...

Algeria, Egypt and Israel can increase their gas shipments to energy-desperate Europe, but they can reduce its dependence on supplies from Russia only so much. Europe’s difficult energy situation in ...

From China and Iraq to Nigeria and North Korea, religious persecution remains a scourge well into the 21st century. Guaranteeing freedom of faith for all is a moral imperative, and would strengthen ...

President Trump has renewed U.S. interest in Greenland to counter Chinese and Russian influence in the Arctic. Flags from the Faroe Islands, Denmark, Greenland and ...

The Kremlin’s war on Ukraine has weakened Russia’s standing as a global arms exporter, with a market share that will likely continue to shrink. Russian military aircraft and fighter jets are displayed ...

Technical and, above all, political obstacles block Cyprus’s way to becoming a natural gas producer and exporter. Some Mediterranean neighbors, including Turkey, complicate the problem. A view of the ...